Sure, they're pretty much in sync right now. But here's why Koch money, power and ideology could divide the right.
March 24, 2014
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I confess to having once been agnostic toward Charles and David
Koch. For quite a while, actually. To me they were the boogeymen of the
left, the people liberals complained about to agitate the base, or when
they had no better ammunition to fire against conservatives and
Republicans. Despite countless exposés of “Koch-funded” organizations,
they just didn’t seem that threatening. The Koch brothers’ most public
outlet for political activism, Americans for Prosperity, was a joke. The
group spent its money fighting climate change legislation by
flying a 70-foot hot air balloon across the country. Hot air, climate change, zing.
I’ve
since been disabused of that attitude. Americans for Prosperity has
grown from a collection of sideshow balloonists to one of the
heaviest-hitting political groups in the country (though you can still get a
balloon ride if
you want). The sprawling, multi-state operation is working to kick
Democrats out of office and put together a “personal electoral
laboratory to fine-tune get-out-the-vote tools and messaging for future
elections as it pursues its overarching goal of convincing Americans
that big government is bad government,” per the New York Times.
Now,
you may be asking yourself: “Isn’t that what the Republican Party is
supposed to be doing?” In a word, yes. But the Kochs are creating their
own political machine. And while that’s bad news for vulnerable Senate
Democrats facing down the onslaught of TV ads AFP has planned, it should
also be worrying for the GOP.
The animating purpose of a party is
to have control – over the influence, over the money, over the policy.
And it has to have control of the agenda. That is what makes a party a
party. It sets an agenda and then uses money, policy and influence to
get the public on its side. Republicans have not been very successful
over the past decade at selling their agenda to the public. All the
while, conservatives have been left to sit and stew while the Obama
agenda slowly, inexorably marches toward fruition. There’s palpable
frustration from movement conservatives at the Republican establishment.
The
GOP left a vacuum, and the Koch brothers are filling it by constructing
a competing political operation, competing fundraising operations, and
competing ideological foundations. Right now the GOP and the Koch
machine are largely in sync; their political arguments are congruent
(Obamacare sucks!) and they share a common enemy in Barack Obama. But
what happens when their interests start diverging?
AFP campaigned hard against Obamacare’s Medicaid expansion, and as Greg Sargent
pointed out,
they’re going to keep fighting to make sure those states that rejected
the expansion hold the line. “Critical to AFP’s agenda is to block the
expansion from moving forward or succeeding wherever possible.” While
AFP may be stalwart in its commitment to denying health coverage to the
poor, Republican lawmakers from states that rejected the Medicaid
expansion are starting to crack,
reports the National Journal.
Many
of the wavering lawmakers are looking to carve out compromise proposals
– block grants, work requirements, etc. Could AFP and the Republicans
themselves find a happy compromise by attaching conditions to the
receipt of federal Medicaid funds?
It doesn’t seem
likely. Arkansas was one of the few Southern states to agree to the
Medicaid expansion, but it needed a bit of compromise. Gov. Mike Beebe, a
Democrat, worked out a deal with the GOP-controlled Legislature to use
the federal money to buy private insurance for people who would
otherwise be eligible for Medicaid. They called it the “private option.”
AFP
called it “Medicaid
expansion by another name” and concluded that “advocates for taxpayers
should not expand Medicaid through the traditional expansion mechanism
or through the modified private insurance model.”
As more states jump on board with the expansion, or as Republicans start making peace with the fact that Obamacare’s future is
almost certainly secure,
the GOP and the Koch empire are going to find themselves increasingly
at odds on an issue that right now holds them together. AFP backs full
repeal of Obamacare, but as more people start receiving benefits through
Obamacare, full repeal becomes an
increasingly untenable position, which puts pressure on Republicans to moderate.
That
gets to the key philosophical difference between the Kochs and the GOP.
As extreme as they often are and as infuriatingly obstructionist as
Republicans can be, they are still vulnerable to prevailing public
sentiment and beholden to the realities of governing. The Kochs answer
only to themselves. They act according to self-interest and the
interests of their tax bracket. “Leaders of the effort say it has great
appeal to the businessmen and businesswomen who finance the operation
and believe that excess regulation and taxation are harming their
enterprises and threatening the future of the country,” the New York
Times noted.
AFP has a functionally unlimited budget and no reason to alter its agenda. The Koch network is
outspending everyone in
its attempt to bring down big government in 2014. If it can be
demonstrated that they played a key role in the Republicans’ (likely)
electoral gains this year, then the money, power and ideology of the
Koch brothers will stand alongside that of the Republican establishment.
And if there’s one thing political parties don’t do well, it’s share
power.
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